Windows NT will become the dominant platform of choice to host enterprise wide ERP solutions by 2001, says the Gartner Group.
“That may come as a surprise to many who see NT still as slightly immature, relegated to distributed office applications, maybe a LAN type of application server, but not something you want to gamble your application server across the enterprise on, says Gartner Asia-Pacific vice-president Bob Hayward.”
However, Hayward, speaking at last week’s SAP user group meeting, Sapphire in Brisbane, says it’s already happening in small to medium-sized organisations today and it will become stronger by 2000, as some of the scalability issues with NT are resolved.
“There seems to be nothing that anybody can do or say to stop this inevitable swing away from first of all proprietary environments ... but also from even mainstream operating systems.”
He says various flavours of Unix hit a peak from November last year to February this year. Since then it has been in relative decline as an operating system at the enterprise level. “The operating system that is coming and stealing its thunder to some degree is NT.”
Oracle is dominant in terms of the core database being used to host the enterprise wide application, and will continue to be dominant.
The dominant user interface organisations used to access enterprise wide applications is Microsoft’s operating systems. Up to 95% of desktops worldwide have Windows 3.x, 95 or NT.
“However, we predict out to 2001 that the generic browser interface will become a reasonably popular choice amongst larger organisations, whether that browser be Microsoft’s or someone else’s. So there is a threat for Microsoft to some degree.”