Microsoft 's Windows 98 will lead the operating systems market in 1998, bagging 51% of new worldwide shipments, market research company Dataquest has forecast.
Windows 98 will account for 56.7 million of the 110 million unit shipments expected in 1998, according to a Dataquest statement. Windows 98 upgrades will total 5.5 million unit shipments, the company says.
The overall number of operating system units shipped is not a true signal of user preference for replacing Windows 95 with Windows 98, according to Chris Le Tocq, a Dataquest analyst. "The indicator of preference will be the number of Windows 98 upgrades that will be shipped. This is where users exercise a choice."
The interest in the new release will come primarily from consumers rather than businesses, Le Tocq says. "Windows 95 was a full release with new features and added capabilities," while "Windows 98 is simply an upgrade."
The computer hobbyist, who enjoys fooling around on a computer over the weekend, will be the most likely candidate to upgrade to Windows 98, he elaborated.
The impending release of Windows NT 5.0 will have a serious impact on Windows 98 sales, especially within large organisations, says Le Tocq. "Corporations are going to opt to install Windows NT 5.0 over Windows 98," he predicted.
Microsoft will boost its market share of worldwide operating system shipments on all computers up to 95% by 1999 according to Dataquest.
Further information on Dataquest's report, entitled "All Platform Operating Systems Sales History and Forecast Summary, April 1998," is available at http://www.dataquest.com/.
New, Worldwide Operating System Shipments for All Platforms
(Thousands of Units)
1997 1998 1999
Windows NT 7,204 13,954 25,846
Windows 3.1 (with DOS) 7,850 1,484 536
Windows 95 70,556 31,321 0
Windows 98 0 56,684 95,539
Others 8,054 7,158 6,949
Total 93,664 110,601 128,870
Dataquest, a unit of GartnerGroup Inc., can be contacted at +1-408-468-8000, and on the Web at http://www.dataquest.com/.
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