New Zealand’s telecommunications market will grow from $5 billion to $15 billion over the next decade, says Australian telco analyst Paul Budde.
However, most of that growth won’t come from the industry as it operates at present.
Budde, who will deliver an address entitled “the $15 billion pie” at the Telecommunications Users Association of New Zealand (Tuanz) annual conference in Auckland on Thursday, says the growth will come from “third-generation” telcos.
Traditional providers such as Telecom, Clear and Vodafone represent the first generation, Call Plus and WordXChange are the second generation and broadband operators delivering content to specific consumer markets are the third generation.
“The telcos of today will have to change their business model to survive in the future and my presentation will be about the new business models needed to get that $15 billion pie.”
Ireland, with a population similar in size to New Zealand, has annual turnover of about £IR2.33 billion across its fixed, mobile and broadcasting markets.
Other speakers at the Tuanz conference include Colonel James Thomson, the NZ Defence Force’s director of joint command control communications information systems, speaking on telecomms use in East Timor, and Simpl group project manager Ian Wells, on “a battle fought and won — new capacities with the Southern Cross cable”.