The prospect of developing a single standard for code division multiple access (CDMA) technology is unlikely, a Lucent Technologies executive told Network World Today yesterday.
Scott Erickson, Lucent's vice president for wireless networks, Asia Pacific, said he believes at least two standards, and possibly a third, are more likely to be approved by the International Telecommunications Union.
CDMA technology is the next generation, or third generation, of mobile service which will form the basis of Australia's new mobile service.
Two separate standards of CDMA are being worked on throughout the world. Wideband-CDMA, based on GSM technology is being developed in Europe and CDMA 2000, based on existing AMPS technology is the chosen path in the US.
According to Erickson, a third standard, based on the European model, may also emerge from Japan.
"One standard is not really possible," Erickson said, claiming that development is market-driven rather than vendor-driven.
"Market strategies are evolutionary to suit customer needs," he said.
Insiders expect a decision on the standards to be made by July this year.